Scenario Planning
Scenario Parameters
📊 Revenue Assumptions
-20%
+50%
-30
+30
💰 Expense Changes
💱 FX Rates
📅 Payment Terms
Positive values = delayed payments, Negative values = accelerated payments
⚡ One-Time Events
Large Contract Payment
Jan 25, 2024 • +$2.5M
Equipment Purchase
Feb 10, 2024 • -$850K
Forecasted Impact
Base Case
Current Scenario
Difference
Peak Liquidity
$54.2M
+$3.8M vs base
Minimum Liquidity
$45.8M
+$2.1M vs base
Average Balance
$49.6M
+$2.8M vs base
🤖 AI Risk Assessment
24
Low Risk
Confidence Level: 91%
💡 Key Insights
This scenario maintains healthy liquidity levels throughout the forecast period. The adjusted payment terms provide additional buffer without significantly impacting operations.
Probability of liquidity constraints: 2.3%
Recommended Actions
💱
Consider converting excess USD to EUR
Potential benefit: $12,400 based on forward curve
📊
Lock in favorable payment terms with Vendor A
Extends cash runway by 8 days on average
💰
Invest excess liquidity in short-term instruments
Potential additional return: $18,500/year
Potential Issues
Minor FX exposure in EUR
Monitor exchange rate movements
Seasonal revenue variance in Q2
Plan for 15% potential decrease